Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 15.530447 17.562254 19.827301 22.551986 25.756995 29.427223 33.976841
2025-10-12 13.142174 15.835648 19.088576 23.353062 28.865771 35.848725 45.521504
2025-10-19 11.197952 14.045658 17.665938 22.688785 29.611131 39.021481 53.152054
2025-10-26 10.306518 13.377541 17.458091 23.408687 32.095223 44.697719 65.127635
2025-11-02 9.288709 12.381623 16.636191 23.092142 32.967692 48.091177 74.263745
2025-11-09 8.440624 11.508377 15.855319 22.682885 33.566514 51.062935 83.217215
2025-11-16 7.776976 10.820331 15.249452 22.428453 34.317410 54.323687 93.278897
2025-11-23 7.125613 10.084508 14.489232 21.823642 34.378635 56.373356 101.484957
2025-11-30 6.670277 9.599136 14.057405 21.682699 35.177959 59.812524 113.150512
2025-12-07 6.098741 8.888560 13.207898 20.749395 34.446393 60.271834 118.668784
2025-12-14 5.549944 8.174132 12.294828 19.614811 33.203551 59.543191 121.386974
2025-12-21 5.179703 7.717280 11.764439 19.092764 33.033819 60.913798 129.260751
2025-12-28 5.348737 8.151841 12.762120 21.435710 38.773697 75.751103 175.044958
2026-01-04 5.215256 8.077275 12.888944 22.195245 41.486507 84.659863 209.026767
2026-01-11 4.874811 7.628484 12.324105 21.571004 41.203241 86.575652 223.693084
2026-01-18 4.760061 7.556857 12.421407 22.247034 43.830248 96.080336 265.539970
2026-01-25 4.516367 7.243512 12.054287 21.949829 44.229982 100.040267 290.928996
2026-02-01 4.281379 6.930585 11.664344 21.565488 44.373384 103.360799 315.611319
2026-02-08 4.083946 6.672681 11.358543 21.326494 44.829408 107.651055 346.072458
2026-02-15 3.860848 6.355454 10.918226 20.758217 44.405164 109.355478 367.148788
2026-02-22 3.706104 6.154552 10.688269 20.625754 45.056189 114.400077 405.215500
2026-03-01 3.476468 5.803252 10.143162 19.748279 43.685420 112.992508 413.657439
2026-03-08 3.240176 5.429089 9.533355 18.680782 41.704219 109.341867 410.199277